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Table 6 Statistics of the meridional velocity (cm s−1) and the sudden increase events (“Kyucho” events) at P in Sagami Bay. “Average” and “SD” denote the 10-year average and standard deviation of the meridional velocity at P, respectively. The 10-year “Frequency” of the “Kyucho” events at P in each case was evaluated based on the “Threshold” velocity value (−30 cm s−1 or −13 cm s−1)

From: Development of high-resolution future ocean regional projection datasets for coastal applications in Japan

Model/Data

Cases and analysis terms

SD (cm s−1)

Average (cm s−1)

Frequency

Threshold (cm s−1)

JPN02

MRI-CGCM3 historical (1996-2005)

13.3

−1.51

38

−30

MRI-CGCM3 RCP2.6 (2086-2095)

14.7

−2.87

46

−30

MRI-CGCM3 RCP8.5 (2086-2095)

14.2

−1.77

42

−30

NP10

MRI-CGCM3 historical (1996-2005)

6.49

1.38

22

−13

Reanalysis (10 km)

FORA-WNP30 (1996-2005)

5.46

1.56

19

−13