Skip to main content

Table 5 Spearman’s rank correlations between TC genesis frequency, TC seed frequency, and survival rate (SR) in each model and reanalysis

From: Evaluation of the contribution of tropical cyclone seeds to changes in tropical cyclone frequency due to global warming in high-resolution multi-model ensemble simulations

Model/Analysis

Seed vs. TC

SR vs. TC

Seed vs. SR

CNRM156

*0.80 (< 0.001)

*0.64 (< 0.001)

0.08 (0.428)

CNRM055

*0.79 (< 0.001)

*0.33 (0.001)

*− 0.24 (0.015)

EC078

*0.79 (< 0.001)

*0.75 (< 0.001)

*0.24 (0.015)

EC039

*0.83 (< 0.001)

*0.63 (< 0.001)

0.14 (0.152)

MPI100

*0.65 (< 0.001)

*0.84 (< 0.001)

*0.18 (0.080)

MPI052

*0.65 (< 0.001)

*0.75 (< 0.001)

0.03 (0.734)

MRI060

*0.81 (< 0.001)

*0.48 (< 0.001)

− 0.08 (0.414)

MRI020

*0.77 (< 0.001)

*0.43 (< 0.001)

*− 0.17 (0.083)

HG208

*0.75 (< 0.001)

*0.80 (< 0.001)

*0.25 (0.011)

HG093

*0.78 (< 0.001)

*0.67 (< 0.001)

0.12 (0.247)

HG039

*0.80 (< 0.001)

*0.60 (< 0.001)

0.06 (0.553)

NCM056

*0.91 (< 0.001)

*0.69 (< 0.001)

*0.35 (< 0.001)

NCM028

*0.80 (< 0.001)

*0.76 (< 0.001)

*0.26 (0.008)

NCM014

*0.91 (< 0.001)

*0.74 (< 0.001)

*0.42 (0.019)

ERA-I

*0.86 (< 0.001)

*0.65 (< 0.001)

*0.29 (0.093)

JRA-55

*0.87 (< 0.001)

*0.37 (0.030)

− 0.08 (0.664)

ERA-5

*0.65 (< 0.001)

*0.43 (< 0.001)

*− 0.34 (0.044)

IBTrACS

*0.51 (0.002)

-0.08 (0.659)

*− 0.88 (< 0.001)

  1. Spearman’s rank correlations between the three parameters (TC, seed, and SR) were calculated from 1950 to 2049 for models except for NCM014, and from 1980 to 2014 for JRA-55, ERA-I, and IBTrACS. The TC seed of IBTrACS was substituted by that of JRA-55. The correlation in NCM014 was calculated during the periods for which the data are available: 1950–1960, 2000–2009, and 2040–2049. An asterisk indicates that a correlation is statistically significant at the 90% confidence level (at least). P values are indicated in parentheses