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Table 3 Trends in TC genesis, TC seed frequency, and survival rate (SR). Trends were calculated from 1990 to 2049. An asterisk indicates that a trend is statistically significant at the 90% confidence level (at least) with the nonparametric Mann–Kendal test. P values are indicated in parentheses

From: Evaluation of the contribution of tropical cyclone seeds to changes in tropical cyclone frequency due to global warming in high-resolution multi-model ensemble simulations

Model

TC genesis

Seed

SR

CNRM156

− 0.09 (0.298)

*− 0.22 (0.014)

0.08 (0.342)

CNRM055

*− 0.21 (0.016)

*− 0.32 (< 0.001)

0.10 (0.241)

EC078

− 0.11 (0.234)

− 0.09 (0.287)

− 0.07 (0.403)

EC039

− 0.10 (0.280)

− 0.11 (0.207)

− 0.04 (0.660)

MPI100

0.01 (0.913)

0.12 (0.170)

− 0.05 (0.583)

MPI052

0.08 (0.397)

− 0.10 (0.246)

*0.19 (0.030)

MRI060

*− 0.18 (0.045)

*− 0.18 (0.046)

0.04 (0.619)

MRI020

*− 0.19 (0.030)

*− 0.32 (< 0.001)

0.14 (0.104)

HG208

− 0.03 (0.725)

− 0.02 (0.818)

− 0.04 (0.642)

HG093

− 0.14 (0.115)

*− 0.18 (0.042)

0.01 (0.914)

HG039

0.04 (0.687)

− 0.11 (0.235)

*0.16 (0.065)

NCM056

*− 0.27 (0.003)

*− 0.28 (0.001)

− 0.08 (0.355)

NCM028

*− 0.28 (0.001)

*− 0.26 (0.003)

*− 0.24 (0.006)

MME mean

*− 0.15 (0.093)

*− 0.23 (0.010)

0.01 (0.944)

MME median

*− 0.19 (0.034)

*− 0.27 (0.003)

0.06 (0.536)