Fig. 4

Taylor’s skill score for annual land precipitation averaged over the period 1984–2003. Green indicates observations. Gray is CMIP5_{Present_All} and black CMIP5_GhighS. Red indicates each member of HP_All and the dark red bar indicates the ensemble mean. Dark and light blue indicate SPYS with and without interpolation, respectively. Circles indicate use of the YS scheme. The reference dataset is MSWEP. The region numbers and abbreviations correspond to Fig. 2. GLB and GLB Land denote global and global land precipitation, respectively. For GLB, three observations (CMAP, GPCP-1DD, and MSWEP) are plotted in green because of the availability of global precipitation