Fig. 6

Relationship between the ECS and the scenario dependence of the cumulative carbon emission for the 1.5°C target: D-1% to I-1% (black), D-1% to I-0.5% (red), and D-1% to I-0.25% (blue). Members with a low ECS (approximately < 2.5 K) do not reach the 1.5 °C warming level from the initial state