Fig. 4

Peak runoff by ensemble forecasting (lines) and the simulation (dots) at all the dam reservoirs for F18. The x-axis shows the 21 ensemble members in descending order of forecasted peak runoff shown on the y-axis. Note that the flood peaks were evaluated after 16:00 6 July 2018 to exclude the effects of first flood peaks, which occurred at some dam reservoirs nearly at the same time as the MEPS initial time for F18