Fig. 4
From: d4PDF: large-ensemble and high-resolution climate simulations for global warming risk assessment
a Histograms of annual maximum 1-day precipitation (mm/day) of each year in the past (blue) and +4 K (red) regional climate simulations (d4PDF-R) at Tokyo, for cases of a certain set of 6, 18, 42, and 90 members as aligned from the top to the bottom. Members plotted are chosen evenly from 15 simulations with six different SST trends. Colored circles along the abscissas in each histogram indicate positions at the 95, 97, and 99 percentiles for past (blue) and +4 K (red) climates. b The mean future changes (line) and the one-sigma uncertainties (shade) in the 95 (red) and 99 (blue) percentile maximum daily precipitations estimated nonparametrically from the database