*2 × CO2 | Fi | Spread | Fe | Spread | γ = Fe/Fi | Sources, notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MIROC5 | 4.08 | Â | 3.68 | Â | 0.91 | Provided by M. Yoshimori, AORI, University of Tokyo |
Hansen | 4.52 | Â | 4.11 | Â | 0.91 | Hansen et al. (2005) |
Smith | 2.62 | Â | 3.7 | Â | 1.41 | Smith et al. (2018) |
*Aerosols | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
Shindell-1 | − 0.26 |  | − 1.17 |  | 4.50 | Shindell et al. (2013), ACCMIP model |
IPCC aerosol-2 | − 0.42 | ±0.24 | − 1.92 | ± 1.0 | 4.57 | |
Shindell-2 | − 0.39 |  | − 1.17 |  | 3.00 | Shindell et al. (2013), including missing components (nitrate and SOA) |
GISS-E2-R | − 0.49 |  | − 1.1 |  | 2.24 | Shindell et al. (2013) |
IPCC aerosol-1 | − 0.45 | ± 0.50 | − 0.9 | aci: − 0.71 to 0 | 2.00 | IPCC (2013), Figs. TS6 and 7 |
*Sulfate | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
This study | − 0.2 |  | – 0.61 |  | 3.02 | Takemura and Suzuki (2019) |
IPCC sulfate | − 0.41 | ± 0.21 | − 0.87 | ± 0.9 | 2.12 | IPCC (2013), Fig. TS7 sulfate, 1850–2000; Aci of aerosol; ari + aci uncertainty of aerosols |
Hansen | − 0.63 |  | − 1.49 |  | 2.36 | Hansen et al. (2005), 2× sulfate; divided by 2 and added indirect |
GISS-E2-R | − 0.37 |  | −  0.61 |  | 1.65 | Shindell et al. (2013) |
*BC | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
This study | 0.148 | Â | 0.008 | Â | 0.51 | |
Hansen | 1.28 | Â | 0.99 | Â | 0.77 | Hansen et al. (2005) |
GISS-E2-R | 0.24 | Â | 0.46 | Â | 1.92 | Shindell et al. (2013) |
Hodnebrog | 0.35 | Â | 0.09 | Â | 0.25 | Hodnebrog et al. (2014) |
NICAM (×10) | 0.77 |  | 0.32 |  | 0.42 | This study, Goto et al. (2020) |
NICAM (×5) | 0.38 |  | 0.14 |  | 0.36 | This study, Goto et al. (2020) |